brainfry.io / cone / bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) probability cone

Not financial advice

A probability cone for Bitcoin (BTC) at a spot of $64,040, built from 40% annualized realized volatility under a lognormal (geometric Brownian motion) model with zero drift. The shaded bands are the 5–95 and 25–75 percentile ranges over the next year; the dashed line is the median. These are statistical distributions under stated assumptions — not a forecast, signal, or recommendation.

Spot

$64,040

Market-cap rank

Realized vol 30d

41%

Realized vol 90d

40%

Realized vol 1y

43%

All-time high

$126,080

From ATH

-49.2%

Max drawdown 1y

-51.2%

Open BTC in the interactive terminal →

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▲ NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Every figure here is a statistical distribution under stated assumptions (geometric Brownian motion with constant volatility and drift) — not a forecast, signal, or recommendation. Markets do not follow these assumptions.